MODEL HYBRID NONLINEAR REGRESSION LOGISTIC (NLR) –DOUBLE EXPONENSIAL SMOOTHING (DES) DAN PENERAPANNYA PADA JUMLAH KASUS KUMULATIF COVID-19 DI INDONESIA DAN BELANDA

The economic relationship between Indonesia and the Netherlands is a good trade relationship, but spread of COVID-19 disrupts two countries' economies. Both countries need to have an explanation regarding condition raise market sentiment. Based on this, Hybrid non-hybrid models are used predict dispersion conditions compare them through MAPE value. double-exponential nonlinear logistic regression hybrid model cumulative number not suitable for use in cases Indonesia. logistic-double exponential one way optimize MAPE, especially training data. non-client model, peak incidence Covid-19 estimated at 22 November 2020, logistic-Double predicts that occurs 28 2020. wave around 2.83 percent 1.62 percent. Therefore decline predicted be faster, will reach Indonesian news wave.